Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 105.789832 122.804725 143.277818 170.231276 205.588328 251.634605 318.424015
2024-10-06 85.868814 107.140071 135.919758 179.652197 248.519399 361.751516 588.137288
2024-10-13 69.088863 89.644467 119.349051 168.569079 256.039079 427.269084 884.510796
2024-10-20 62.395793 84.021510 117.339823 177.681512 300.287368 598.468202 1845.619966
2024-10-27 54.759000 75.348482 108.300852 171.368299 311.424332 711.554678 3294.057017
2024-11-03 52.940534 75.180292 112.847799 191.396999 393.666522 1179.608419 21509.828827
2024-11-10 53.296214 78.464624 124.020597 229.714931 563.529971 2797.212325 NaN
2024-11-17 49.152433 73.396452 118.462966 227.807076 607.008385 4109.949960 NaN
2024-11-24 45.114768 67.999983 111.301725 219.617500 621.214131 5504.602132 NaN
2024-12-01 42.580365 65.004923 108.485114 222.024522 686.754172 10102.237382 NaN
2024-12-08 40.668871 62.919106 107.187508 228.293449 783.878778 27654.344142 NaN
2024-12-15 38.597519 60.304081 104.328002 229.123594 857.173852 109124.855792 NaN
2024-12-22 35.546587 56.087395 98.564098 223.481535 919.212838 NaN NaN
2024-12-29 33.734051 54.152203 97.850975 235.275553 1172.214059 NaN NaN
2025-01-05 30.657229 49.374499 89.697973 218.190380 1132.503928 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 29.437079 48.162381 89.814653 231.525946 1500.884449 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 27.381387 45.012096 84.612792 222.124894 1554.718838 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 27.066617 45.411874 88.398667 252.042930 2636.021795 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 27.430570 47.291827 96.596907 311.252103 7639.423392 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 26.024260 45.119455 93.099306 308.242973 9831.807866 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 24.532329 42.623316 88.289583 295.401660 10541.969405 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 23.555807 41.204453 86.414398 299.163818 16274.231387 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 22.786253 40.183053 85.547400 309.008760 34110.909256 NaN NaN